The “Once-in-100 Years Pandemic” Idea — Myth or Pattern?
The “Once-in-100 Years” Pandemic Idea
TFrom 1720 to 2020: How Pandemics and Crashes Remind Us That History Repeats
For centuries, global crises have seemed to strike in cycles. Looking back at history, it is striking how pandemics and financial collapses reappear, often reshaping the world for decades.
Pandemics Every Century
- 1720 – The Great Plague of Marseille
The last major European outbreak of bubonic plague, it killed nearly 100,000 people in France, devastating both Marseille and surrounding provinces. - 1820 – The First Cholera Pandemic
Originating near Calcutta, India, this pandemic spread across Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and the Mediterranean, affecting millions and marking the beginning of repeated global cholera outbreaks. - 1920 – The Spanish Flu
From 1918 to 1920, influenza swept the world, infecting an estimated 500 million people — one quarter of the global population. The death toll ranged from 17 million to over 50 million, making it one of the deadliest health crises in human history. - 2020 – COVID-19
First detected in Wuhan, China, the coronavirus pandemic quickly spread to nearly every country, infecting hundreds of millions and reshaping economies, healthcare, and daily life across the globe.
At first glance, it appears that once every 100 years, the world is struck by a devastating pandemic. While not a strict scientific cycle, the pattern is a reminder: history often echoes itself.
Financial Echoes: The Great Depression
The same repeating pattern can be seen in markets. The U.S. stock market crashed in 1929, wiping out decades of gains. It took nearly 25 years — until the mid-1950s — for investors to recover their losses.
If history echoes again, and markets face another collapse starting around 2028, what will happen to today’s retirement accounts?
The 401(k) Dilemma in a Crisis
For millions of Americans, retirement savings are tied up in 401(k) plans. But these accounts have limitations:
- Money is locked until age 59½ with heavy penalties for early withdrawals.
- Investment choices are limited, often concentrated in stock-heavy funds.
- A major crash could erase years of growth and take decades to recover.
- Inflation and policy changes can further reduce real retirement income.
Just as pandemics remind us of human vulnerability, market crashes remind us of financial fragility.
Anil Aggarwal’s Perspective
Anil Aggarwal began his career in the fashion industry, where trends and cycles repeat endlessly. That background gave him a keen eye for patterns — an insight he now applies in real estate, insurance, and financial planning.
Just as fashion requires adaptability, financial planning demands foresight. Anil believes investors should not simply hope history will be kinder this time, but instead design customized strategies that create flexibility, protection, and growth potential beyond the limits of a traditional 401(k).
For those who want to explore safer, smarter strategies to prepare for the next financial cycle, contact:
Anil Aggarwal
Phone: 732-877-8585
Email: Anil.aggarwal@vylla.com
Disclaimer
This article is not financial advice. It is intended as an educational thought piece and a wake-up call about how history often repeats itself. Always consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This article is not financial advice. It is intended as a thought exercise and wake-up call to highlight how history often echoes in unexpected ways. Always consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.


